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Qual 592011 Virginia Regional
Red41
108622.5
4013.8
12217.7
Blue36
31367.5
20688.9
236341.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445302060801001201404136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#24
22.50.2
18.7→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.4
2363
#2
41.90.8
36.8→36.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
122
#7
17.70.2
17.7→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.8
2068
#55
8.91.3
7.8→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
401
#44
3.80.3
8.6→8.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.8
3136
#39
7.51.3
7.2→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—