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Qual 612011 Virginia Regional
Red0
30721.7
3469.2
24023.9
Blue3
21865.3
3870-0.6
1262-0.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17903040506003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#52
9.20.8
10.2→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
2186
#31
5.30.4
5.1→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2402
#41
3.91.3
6.2→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.5
3870
#40
-0.60.6
0.4→-0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3072
#63
1.71.3
-0.6→-1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
1262
#37
-0.70.6
4.5→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—