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Qual 652011 Virginia Regional
Red48
105812.7
299811.2
4055.1
Blue3
20688.9
28904.2
33733.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281601020405060483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#13
12.71.1
12.8→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.8
2068
#55
8.91.3
6.5→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2998
#28
11.21.8
8.9→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.1
2890
#45
4.21.3
7.1→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
405
#57
5.11.8
4.4→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
3373
#56
3.51.3
4.6→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—