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Qual 72011 Virginia Regional
Red48
189510.2
188527.4
15225.0
Blue1
31431.3
30721.7
20214.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345020406080100481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#1
27.41.1
17.1→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.6
2021
#53
4.80.7
4.5→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1895
#3
10.21.2
9.0→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.5
3072
#63
1.70.7
3.9→3.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1522
#30
5.01.2
3.3→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
3143
#50
1.30.7
1.4→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—