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Qual 782011 Virginia Regional
Red0
4013.8
28904.2
299811.2
Blue6
189510.2
5404.6
17936.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23210103040506006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2998
#28
11.21.8
10.7→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
1895
#3
10.20.8
12.4→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2890
#45
4.21.9
5.8→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.3
1793
#15
6.51.2
5.6→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
401
#44
3.81.8
6.6→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
540
#29
4.61.3
3.5→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—