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Qual 802011 Virginia Regional
Red12
109511.6
111117.9
32741.9
Blue0
20214.8
18294.7
37096.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3410020406080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#12
17.90.9
18.3→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.9
3709
#54
6.01.1
8.0→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1095
#5
11.61.5
9.5→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.8
2021
#53
4.81.2
3.5→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3274
#47
1.91.4
2.4→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.8
1829
#42
4.71.1
2.6→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—