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Qual 892011 Virginia Regional
Red17
10336.6
167639.3
1262-0.7
Blue47
161014.7
31688.8
111117.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553602060801001747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#6
39.31.7
40.8→39.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.4
1111
#12
17.90.4
17.4→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1033
#35
6.62.5
9.1→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.1
1610
#11
14.70.6
13.1→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1262
#37
-0.72.5
1.8→-0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.5
3168
#48
8.80.7
8.1→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—