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Qual 942011 Virginia Regional
Red0
4013.8
6114.8
20282.5
Blue61
173121.8
238620.6
3469.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558204080100120061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#58
4.80.7
5.5→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.0
1731
#8
21.80.8
21.0→21.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
401
#44
3.81.0
4.8→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.8
2386
#23
20.60.6
20.0→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2028
#38
2.51.0
3.4→2.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.8
346
#52
9.20.6
8.7→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—