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Red57
212220.0
48813.7
28503.0
Blue0
29807.4
35745.7
94811.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372406080100570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.6
19.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
948
#23
11.50.7
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
#18
13.70.5
13.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2980
#42
7.40.6
7.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2850
#22
3.00.5
2.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
5.70.7
6.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End