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Red0
322115.4
38601.8
64910.7
Blue3
33904.6
38051.8
293010.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237040608010003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3221
#13
15.41.7
11.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
10.00.5
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
649
#12
10.71.7
5.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3390
#14
4.60.5
1.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3860
#44
1.80.3
1.81.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3805
#10
1.80.9
1.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End