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Red2
32370.2
30494.7
247123.1
Blue0
29033.0
13590.3
368114.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14702040608020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.9
7.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
3681
#24
14.30.7
3.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3049
#15
4.70.9
3.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2903
#25Sur
3.00.7
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3237
#41Sur
0.20.9
2.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1359
#38
0.30.7
2.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End