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Red18
94811.5
29062.1
3608.3
Blue15
48813.7
31265.1
29266.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101803040501815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#23
11.50.5
4.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
488
#18
13.70.2
8.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
360
#3
8.30.5
4.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2926
#30
6.80.2
4.24.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2906
#34
2.10.5
2.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3126
#26
5.10.2
4.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End