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Red0
32165.6
33904.6
35872.1
Blue3
29232.7
17784.3
36622.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions962040608010012014016003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#45
5.60.7
5.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1778
#32
4.30.3
2.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3390
#14
4.60.7
1.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2923
#36
2.70.3
2.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3587
#50
2.10.7
1.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3662
#19
2.50.3
1.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End