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Red15
38250.4
48813.7
28503.0
Blue3
38122.7
32195.6
12582.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12501020304050153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#18
13.70.3
7.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3219
#40
5.60.2
2.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2850
#22
3.00.3
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1258
#31
2.80.2
2.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3825
#16
0.40.3
2.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3812
#46
2.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End