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Red2
38051.8
17784.3
23744.3
Blue1
32195.6
29062.1
29232.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11702030405021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#43
4.30.7
5.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3219
#40
5.60.5
2.41.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1778
#32
4.30.7
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2923
#36
2.70.5
2.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3805
#10
1.80.7
0.70.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2906
#34
2.10.5
2.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End