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Red30
21477.1
323812.6
142520.5
Blue54
299011.1
339319.6
18998.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423802060801001203054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.2
20.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
19.60.3
19.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.60.2
12.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2990
#19
11.10.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2147
#32
7.10.2
7.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1899
#15
8.50.3
8.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End