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Red3
38763.6
36639.9
21494.4
Blue6
260510.9
4921.8
322314.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7150102030405036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#14
9.90.5
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
3223
#10
14.80.6
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2149
#44
4.40.5
2.92.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
10.90.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3876
#25
3.60.5
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
492
#37
1.80.6
2.82.2
Auto
Teleop
End