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Red4
7510.6
32182.1
7537.9
Blue0
29274.9
29764.1
38062.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111302030405040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#12
7.90.7
7.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2927
#27Sur
4.90.9
6.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3218
#22
2.10.7
3.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2976
#26
4.10.9
2.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
#43Sur
0.60.7
1.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3806
#49
2.00.9
2.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End