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Red30
19215.4
260510.9
25174.0
Blue3
21477.1
38264.0
24128.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2090304050607080303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#21
15.40.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2412
#35
8.30.7
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.91.0
2.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2147
#32
7.10.7
2.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2517
#17
4.01.0
2.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3826
#38
4.00.7
3.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End