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Red18
38131.3
35883.1
28117.4
Blue3
30701.9
21494.4
299011.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10120515202530183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#36
7.40.6
5.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2990
#19
11.10.7
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3588
#31
3.10.6
3.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2149
#44
4.40.7
2.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3813
#46
1.30.6
1.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3070
#42
1.90.7
4.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End