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Red1
36846.7
7510.6
38131.3
Blue4
4921.8
29252.4
29051.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions470101520253014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3684
#11
6.70.3
1.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2925
#24
2.40.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3813
#46
1.30.3
1.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2905
#23
1.90.2
3.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
#43
0.60.3
0.90.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
492
#37
1.80.2
1.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End