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Red11
38550.7
299011.1
37876.1
Blue38
35867.8
28657.2
36639.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12200304050601138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#19
11.10.2
6.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3663
#14
9.91.6
8.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.10.2
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3586
#20
7.81.6
5.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3855
#47
0.70.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
2865
#33
7.21.6
4.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End