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Red2
38264.0
30701.9
29051.9
Blue0
7537.9
28657.2
32135.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1123030405060708020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#38
4.01.8
4.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
753
#12
7.91.8
8.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3070
#42
1.90.9
5.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2865
#33
7.21.8
6.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2905
#23
1.90.9
4.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3213
#13
5.41.8
6.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End