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Red3
38550.7
18998.5
35883.1
Blue30
36846.7
32862.2
38264.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121351015202530330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#15
8.50.8
6.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3684
#11
6.71.4
5.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3588
#31
3.10.8
3.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3826
#38
4.01.4
4.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3855
#47
0.70.8
2.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3286
#48
2.21.4
3.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End