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Red6
38763.6
29274.9
35883.1
Blue0
32135.4
29291.2
38062.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11902040608010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2927
#27
4.90.4
5.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3213
#13
5.40.7
5.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3876
#25
3.60.4
1.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3806
#49
2.00.7
1.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3588
#31
3.10.3
3.12.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2929
#41
1.20.7
1.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End