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Red30
29225.3
32182.1
322314.8
Blue12
35883.1
299011.1
28657.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17180102030403012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3223
#10
14.81.0
12.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2990
#19
11.10.4
8.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.31.0
3.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2865
#33
7.20.4
6.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3218
#22
2.10.9
1.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3588
#31
3.10.4
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End