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Red12
323812.6
21477.1
142520.5
Blue21
47311.9
260510.9
25552.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452204060801001221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.6
20.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
473
#18
11.90.1
11.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.60.6
12.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
10.90.1
10.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2147
#32
7.10.6
7.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2555
#40
2.90.1
2.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End