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Qual 112011 Waterloo Regional
Red16
270225.3
260910.5
23617.5
Blue3
18466.6
316111.2
13349.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30240406080100163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#5Sur
25.30.6
18.1→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.1
3161
#23
11.21.8
9.9→8.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2609
#13
10.51.1
7.6→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
1334
#28
9.31.8
9.3→7.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2361
#7
7.51.1
3.0→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
1846
#17Sur
6.61.8
5.3→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—