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Red36
124112.4
8435.6
12199.2
Blue3
28810.4
2166.0
13125.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22190406080363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.41.2
11.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
288
#9Sur
10.40.8
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1219
#26
9.21.2
5.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
216
#18
6.00.8
4.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
843
#29
5.60.7
5.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1312
#15
5.91.3
8.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End