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Red74
9077.5
131024.5
153510.8
Blue33
368320.4
13349.3
270225.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224804060801007433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.54.0
15.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
25.30.5
19.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1535
#21
10.84.0
6.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
20.40.9
14.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
907
#27
7.54.0
4.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1334
#28
9.30.9
10.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End