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Red124
205651.3
368320.4
2449.4
Blue12
270225.3
220015.7
130510.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6448020408010012012412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.33.1
43.446.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.0
25.31.9
18.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.44.9
13.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2200
#16
15.73.0
17.014.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
244
#12
9.43.1
4.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1305
#22
10.63.0
14.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End