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Red30
220015.7
33967.3
8435.6
Blue81
124112.4
61026.8
270225.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2265040801001201403081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#16
15.70.1
15.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
610
#10
26.81.4
26.027.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3396
#14
7.30.1
7.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
25.31.1
21.522.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
843
#29
5.60.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
12.41.4
10.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End