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Red50
54823.0
353714.0
132216.9
Blue3
34152.8
10761.7
332220.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54140204080100120140503

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#25
23.00.1
21.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3322
#12
20.20.8
17.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1322
#20
16.90.1
15.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
3415
#32
2.80.8
-0.5-1.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3537
#19
14.00.1
11.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
1076
#30
1.70.8
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End