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Red4
36684.6
26270.4
132216.9
Blue6
83014.7
16843.6
150410.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24390608010012014046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#20
16.91.1
18.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
830
#29
14.71.5
17.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3668
#31
4.61.2
5.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
1504
#15
10.81.5
12.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2627
#40
0.41.2
1.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1684
#35
3.61.5
6.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End