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Red21
203912.8
17112.7
2441.1
Blue3
282627.4
86813.1
26918.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1429020406080213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#29
12.80.4
5.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
27.42.0
9.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
171
#15
12.70.4
7.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
269
#8
18.22.0
7.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
244
#39
1.10.4
2.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
868
#41
13.12.0
9.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End