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Red4
2168.2
31475.3
938.0
Blue33
10915.5
250611.6
17367.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26240406080100120433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#38
8.21.8
12.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2506
#12
11.60.8
12.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
93
#40
8.01.8
12.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1736
#34
7.40.8
4.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3147
#33
5.31.8
1.7-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1091
#24
5.50.8
6.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End