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Qual 362011 Wisconsin Regional
Red33
34185.8
250611.6
37348.8
Blue8
3596-2.3
178111.1
130615.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030405060338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#12
11.60.7
13.1→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.3
1306
#16
15.81.3
10.1→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3734
#20
8.80.7
6.4→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.3
1781
#18
11.11.3
11.8→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3418
#23
5.80.7
4.6→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
3596
#49
-2.31.3
1.9→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—