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Red3
811.4
16524.5
110311.1
Blue49
171612.0
250611.6
178111.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210406080100349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1103
#17
11.11.1
5.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1716
#10
12.02.4
5.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1652
#50
4.51.1
5.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2506
#12
11.62.4
7.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
81
#46
1.41.1
4.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
1781
#18
11.12.4
6.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End