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Qual 472011 Wisconsin Regional
Red48
204114.9
86813.1
178111.1
Blue3
36924.2
2884.5
1679.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3215020406080483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2041
#21
14.91.5
11.1→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
167
#22
9.21.2
9.8→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
868
#41
13.11.5
8.2→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.6
288
#31
4.51.2
5.9→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1781
#18
11.11.5
10.5→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
3692
#45
4.21.2
1.7→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—