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Qual 532011 Wisconsin Regional
Red12
10915.5
171612.0
173227.2
Blue0
2884.5
17112.7
18645.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45220406080100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#5
27.22.5
20.3→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.5
171
#15
12.72.1
11.8→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1716
#10
12.02.5
12.2→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.8
1864
#37
5.22.1
9.2→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1091
#24
5.52.5
8.9→6.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
288
#31
4.52.1
4.7→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—