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Red20
70613.0
171419.3
2884.5
Blue2
31475.3
336213.4
270218.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35210406080100202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#14
19.31.0
15.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2702
#30
18.31.8
7.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
706
#19
13.01.0
9.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3362
#35
13.41.8
10.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#31
4.51.0
7.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3147
#33
5.31.8
4.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End