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Red6
19730.3
11007.8
17355.7
Blue60
188410.1
35822.4
23613.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1530020406080100660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#23
7.80.9
7.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
358
#1
22.42.7
15.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1735
#18
5.70.9
7.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
236
#12
13.22.7
10.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#28
0.30.9
2.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
1884
#13
10.12.7
2.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End