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Red40
22811.2
312520.6
30445.9
Blue64
24374.4
177218.2
57112.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342204060804064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.7
10.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
18.23.3
14.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
#7
11.20.7
10.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
571
#15
12.73.3
7.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3044
#24
5.90.7
10.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2437
#35
4.43.3
2.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End