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Qual 452011 WPI Regional
Red20
22811.2
16872.2
177218.2
Blue0
3780-1.7
8396.9
19730.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337020406080100200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1772
#9
18.20.7
17.4→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.4
839
#21
6.90.9
8.3→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
228
#7
11.20.7
11.1→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.9
1973
#28
0.30.9
1.4→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1687
#22
2.20.7
0.9→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.8
3780
#34
-1.70.9
1.5→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—