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Red60
22811.2
19730.3
35822.4
Blue5
328012.4
34990.4
12117.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29380206080605

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#1
22.41.8
21.823.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
121
#5
17.41.9
19.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
#7
11.21.8
9.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
12.41.9
14.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#28
0.31.8
-1.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3499
#33
0.41.9
2.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End