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Red0
262013.6
377313.3
24010.1
Blue79
30819.7
28016.8
12312.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38500206080100120140160079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#21
13.60.7
14.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
308
#6
19.70.5
19.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.30.7
14.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
280
#17
16.80.5
16.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
240
#16
10.10.7
11.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
123
#14
12.90.5
12.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End