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Red48
365611.8
152822.8
26766.2
Blue30
354220.3
26118.9
37064.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2317010304050604830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.3
14.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3542
#10
20.30.6
8.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3656
#15
11.81.3
7.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
8.90.6
8.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#11
6.21.3
0.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3706
#39
4.31.0
1.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End