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Red0
37064.3
37693.6
26732.2
Blue12
5151.4
152822.8
36174.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626020304050607080012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3706
#39
4.30.8
2.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
22.80.5
15.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3769
#37
3.60.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3617
#19
4.80.5
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2673
#27
2.20.5
4.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
515
#32
1.40.5
3.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End