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Red0
19418.9
26732.2
28016.8
Blue59
261220.5
32615.3
36174.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633020406080100120059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#17
16.81.4
15.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2612
#18
20.51.4
18.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1941
#33
8.91.4
8.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
326
#9
15.31.4
10.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2673
#27
2.21.4
3.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3617
#19
4.81.4
2.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End