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Red30
36323.5
365611.8
261220.5
Blue44
36056.3
8189.0
37681.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32120204060803044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#18
20.50.1
19.519.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
818
#20
9.01.4
6.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3656
#15
11.80.1
6.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
3605
#24
6.31.4
8.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3632
#28
3.50.1
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3768
#36
1.91.4
0.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End